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Entries for 2007


August 2007

Mainland shares slump 3.8pc after hitting record 12 months ago
More NPLs? 12 months ago
Corporate profits and China's stock markets 12 months ago
More trading losses 12 months ago
Don't expect much of a decline in China's trade surplus 12 months ago
Cleaning up ABC 12 months ago
Monetary impact of recapitalization? 12 months ago
The "nuclear threat" of Chinese reserves 12 months ago
The "nuclear threat" of Chinese reserves (2) 12 months ago
The "nuclear threat" of Chinese resrves (3) 12 months ago
My Op Ed in today's WSJ 12 months ago
Foreigners can issue yuan bonds 12 months ago
PBoC extends maturities 12 months ago
Employment growth not highly sensitive to the export sector 12 months ago
July trade surplus at $24.4 billion 12 months ago
PPI inflation declines 12 months ago
New money supply and loan numbers 12 months ago
Good for the US, less good for China 12 months ago
Good for the US, less good for China (2) 12 months ago
Good for the US, less good for China (3) 12 months ago
Good for the US, less good for China (4) 12 months ago
Comment on previous postings 12 months ago
Political risks of inflation in china 12 months ago
Is this the big one? 12 months ago
CPI hits 5.6% for July 12 months ago
Stock index futures 12 months ago
Retail sales up 16.4% in July 12 months ago
New bond issue 11 months ago
Industrial production is up 18% for July 11 months ago
US trade defict narrows, but not with China 11 months ago
Illegal banks 11 months ago
Illegal banks (2) 11 months ago
Illegal banks (3) 11 months ago
Corporate bonds 11 months ago
Corporate bonds (2) 11 months ago
In July FAI rose 26.1% year on year 11 months ago
Illiquid liquidity 11 months ago
Decreased dependency on the US? 11 months ago
Penalty bond issue 11 months ago
China May Raise Rates by Sept. 30 to Cool Growth 11 months ago
China Eyes Investing In Private Equity, Hedge Funds 11 months ago
Financial instability in China 11 months ago
Financial instability in China (2) 11 months ago
Financial instability in China (3) 11 months ago
Financial instability in China (4) 11 months ago
Are Chinese stocks too expensive? 11 months ago
More inflation coming? 11 months ago
More on agricultural inflation 11 months ago
The real impact of rising rates on debt servicing 11 months ago
Pork prices 11 months ago
Chinese banks holding mortgage securities 11 months ago
Do China's capital controls still bind? 11 months ago
CIC may buy state-owned firms 11 months ago
Double-counting works both ways 11 months ago
Stimulating capital outflows 11 months ago
Remittances 11 months ago
The dark side of finance 11 months ago
More on the dark side 11 months ago
RMB 600 billion bond issue 11 months ago
US industrial production is not collapsing 11 months ago

September 2007

Too many malls 11 months ago
Corporate fundraising in China 11 months ago
Hot hot hot 11 months ago
Are there more losses from this summer's events? 11 months ago
What to do about money? 11 months ago
The banking trap 11 months ago
Food inflation is not just a Chinese problem 11 months ago
Japan's monetary policy difficulties 11 months ago
Pesky school kids 11 months ago
PPI numbers 11 months ago
Oh oh! CPI up to 6.5% 11 months ago
Little insider reaction? 11 months ago
Second largest monthy trade surplus ever 11 months ago
Tom Holland on inflation 11 months ago
Good news on retail consumption, but bad timing 11 months ago
Industrial output up 17.5% 10 months ago
Good news on money outflows 10 months ago
Keidel on China inflation 10 months ago
Interest rates are up again (yawn) 10 months ago
Bank run in England 10 months ago
Did US corporations "cause" the US-China trade imbalance? 10 months ago
China and the savings glut (2) 10 months ago
China and the savings glut (1) 10 months ago
Appreciation in Chinese Yuan Versus Euro 10 months ago
Maybe Chinese exposure to complex instruments is limited 10 months ago
China's sovereign wealth fund 10 months ago
What is the PBoC doing to repo rates? 10 months ago
Guest blog (1) 10 months ago
Guest blog (2) 10 months ago
My blog is blocked 10 months ago
A savings glut doesn't mean higher global savings 10 months ago
I cannot respond to comments 10 months ago
Is the US trade deficit withering away? 10 months ago
Expect stronger action on the overheating front 10 months ago
More measures on real estate speculation 10 months ago

October 2007

Should Chinese Banks Acquire Banks Abroad? (3) 10 months ago
Should Chinese Banks Acquire Banks Abroad? (2) 10 months ago
Should Chinese Banks Acquire Banks Abroad? (1) 10 months ago
Responses to "Should Chinese Banks...?" 10 months ago
Difficult decisions postponed? 10 months ago
Long-term productivity growth 10 months ago
Minsheng buys UCB 10 months ago
Does quality disqualify Minsheng? 10 months ago
The costs of corruption 9 months ago
$23.9 billion surplus in September 9 months ago
More of the same 9 months ago
The CIC should not invest in Chinese banks (2) 9 months ago
The CIC should not invest in Chinese banks (1) 9 months ago
Still censored after all these days 9 months ago
Will CITIC buy a stake in Bear Stearns? 9 months ago
- 9 months ago
September money growth 9 months ago
Inflation for September? 9 months ago
A different CPI estimate? 9 months ago
Will a stock market crash matter? 9 months ago
The currency regime adds volatility 9 months ago
September inflation remains too high 9 months ago
Food prices and inflation 9 months ago
A slowing US won’t fix China’s trade imbalance 9 months ago
Markets and chaos 9 months ago
Maxi-revaluation being discussed? 9 months ago
PPI is up too 9 months ago
Don’t take comfort in reduced GDP growth numbers 9 months ago
The firewall has gotten worse 9 months ago
Banks hold more dollars? 9 months ago
PBoC influence on decision-making 9 months ago
Hidden inflation? 9 months ago
Shift to fixed or shift to floating? 9 months ago
Fuel shortage spreads 9 months ago
Sarkozy in China 9 months ago

November 2007

College unemployment 9 months ago
Oil price hike 9 months ago
RMB appreciation is speeding up 9 months ago
Inflation in China? 9 months ago
Export orders are down. Imports too. 9 months ago
Emerging markets inflation roundup 9 months ago
Why have the PBoC’s borrowing costs gone up? 9 months ago
More on overheating? 9 months ago
Comments 9 months ago
Mr. Sarkozy goes to Washington 9 months ago
The declining US trade deficit 9 months ago
Small banks getting squeezed by IPOs 9 months ago
CPI inflation projection by PBoC 9 months ago
Index futures? 9 months ago
Growth in PBoC liabilities 9 months ago
Minimum reserve requirement is up (again) 9 months ago
October trade numbers 8 months ago
Finanacial Times recommends maxi-reval 8 months ago
CPI inflation for October is 6.5% 8 months ago
October CPI inflation rose to 6.5% 8 months ago
Zhou calls for positive real interest rates 8 months ago
Industrial growth up 17.9% for October 8 months ago
Cap on bank deposit withdrawals in Shenzhen 8 months ago
US slowdown and Chinese investment 8 months ago
Can export crisis lead to internal development? 8 months ago
Can the PBoC use state shares to sterilize? 8 months ago
Acquisition sprees and loan growth 8 months ago
China is selling dollars! (Again.) 8 months ago
Hot money coming and going 8 months ago
Europeans in China 8 months ago
The RMB declined today 8 months ago
Why IPO prices should surge, and what happens when they don’t 8 months ago
Quarterly loan quotas 8 months ago
CIC minimum return 8 months ago
Rumblings over November inflation 8 months ago
Reserves at $1.455 trillion 8 months ago
Decoupling? Not according to the stock market 8 months ago
Global food prices still rising 8 months ago
Will QDII make a difference to monetary policy? 8 months ago

December 2007

More monetary headaches (2) 8 months ago
More monetary headaches (1) 8 months ago
The value of the RMB does matter to the trade balance (2) 8 months ago
The value of the RMB does matter to the trade balance (1) 8 months ago
Foreign acquisitions? 8 months ago
Global food prices may rise a lot more 8 months ago
Will new curbs on bank lending work? 8 months ago
Is Zhou Xiaochuan a Minskyite? (2) 8 months ago
Is Zhou Xiaochuan a Minskyite? (1) 8 months ago
Two out of three "prevents" ain't bad 8 months ago
Minimum reserves hit 14.5% 8 months ago
Oh-oh! M2 growth is 18.5% and PPI is up – CPI comes out tomorrow 8 months ago
Cooling China 8 months ago
Slower loan growth does not necessarily equal lower FAI 8 months ago
CPI is up 6.9%, trade surplus at a near record 8 months ago
Chinese industrial production is “only” up 17.3% 7 months ago
Weak RMB? No! Weak dollar! 7 months ago
Foreign companies can raise money in China 7 months ago
Wu Xiaolin on small loan companies 7 months ago
More on cross-border banking 7 months ago
Don’t turn the shower faucet to hot too quickly 7 months ago
More worries about the stock market? 7 months ago
The value of the RMB DOES matter, but not for the obvious reasons 7 months ago
China buys more of Wall Street 7 months ago
Currency swapping does nothing to improve Chinese liquidity 7 months ago
Droughts and inflation 7 months ago
China's risky bet on overheating 7 months ago
Response to “Inflation first, appreciation second” 7 months ago
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Biography

 

Michael Pettis is a professor at Peking University's Guanghua School of Management, where he specializes in Chinese financial markets.  He has also taught, from 2002 to 2004, at Tsinghua University’s School of Economics and Management and, from 1992 to 2001, at Columbia University’s Graduate School of Business.   He is a member of the board of directors of ABC-CA Fund Management Co., a Sino-French joint venture based in Shanghai.

 

Pettis has worked on Wall Street in trading, capital markets, and corporate finance since 1987, when he joined the Sovereign Debt trading team at Manufacturers Hanover (now JP Morgan). Most recently, from 1996 to 2001, Pettis worked at Bear Stearns, where he was Managing Director-Principal heading the Latin American Capital Markets and the Liability Management groups. He has also worked as a partner in a merchant banking boutique that specialized in securitizing Latin American assets and at Credit Suisse First Boston, where he headed the emerging markets trading team. Besides trading and capital markets, Pettis has been involved in sovereign advisory work, including for the Mexican government on the privatization of its banking system, the Republic of Macedonia on the restructuring of its international bank debt, and the South Korean Ministry of Finance on the restructuring of the country’s commercial bank debt.

 

Pettis is a member of the Institute of Latin American Studies Advisory Board at Columbia University as well as the Dean’s Advisory Board at the School of Public and International Affairs.  He is the author of several books, including The Volatility Machine: Emerging Economies and the Threat of Financial Collapse (Oxford University Press, 2001).  He received an MBA in Finance in 1984 and an MIA in Development Economics in 1981, both from Columbia University.

 

He can be contacted at michael@pettis.comOpen in a new window.