I have enjoyed reading your insights about the Chinese markets/economy on seekingalpha as well as on this blog. I am working on a piece right now, and would appreciate your insight when i post it on SA.
Flora Sapio - 7/18/2008 1:54 PM
Just included your blog in the list of law-related China blogs I am compiling,
F. Sapio - Forgotten Archipelagoes (florasapio.blogspot.com)
Kemal - 7/16/2008 10:29 PM
thank you for blogging.
i enjoy reading your posts, and i have learnt a lot about China from your blog.
J. - 7/16/2008 12:20 PM
michael, although i appreciated your seeking alpha post, you made a big mistake and listed your article as: "China Overtakes Japan as Worst Performing Market".
I believe you meant to say, Vietnam. You might want to correct that! :)
Sensex - 7/15/2008 3:02 AM
Hey great info on the chinese stock market... helped in my research a lot :)
Sensex <a href="http://www.sensex.in">Sensex</a>
Denis Suslov - 7/6/2008 3:15 AM
This rss feed is read by more than 500 readers in Google reader, so it seems as best way to reach people dealing with banking and finance in China, so: My e-mail is denissuslov@gmail.com - please contact me if you are working in bkg or fin industry in this promising country - I would be glad to have discussion with you.
Actually my question is -I am 18, and it is no-return point to choose university - which faculty in which university is considered to be the best for getting education and then job in before mentioned areas of business? (I want to be taught in chinese language) Please feel free to write to me, it is so important!
Dear Michael Pettis, it would be great if you write an entry on economic/financial education in China! Thank you for great blog anyway.
Lucia Jin - 6/29/2008 2:42 PM
Dear Prof. Pettis
I have been reading your blog, and has an economic student i found it very useful and interesting. Could i ask you a question? What do you think about the chinese currency? do you think its still undervalued? Becoze now im particulary interested in this issue.
Thank you very much.
Regards.
Lucia
Guilhem Jaubert - 6/22/2008 6:39 AM
Hello Mr Pettis,
I am a student in a French business school preparing my masters. This year I did a one year internship at JPMorgan Private Bank in Geneva and I am more and more interested in finance. I have a paper to write for my schoolwork, the subject for which is 'How to develop the Shanghai stock exchange ?'.
I would like to thank you for your blog as I find that it is a true source of information and also one of the few reliable ones a part from the official chinese websites. Would you be able to direct me towards other sources of information or recommend any books or papers that have been written on this subject ? I am particularly interested in understanding the high volatility of the Shanghai stock exchange, the main critical differences with the Hong Kong stock exchange and how the Chinese government should act to make the Shanghai stock exchange become a mature one ?
Thank you very much for your help and for your blog.
Best Rgds Guilhem
bryan keeling - 6/21/2008 5:40 AM
Hi Michael...I have been receiving your blog for about a month...and it is refreshing to receive untainted information...straight from the horses mouth..if you know what I mean..My country has very strong commercial ties with China... so having the ability to keep abreast of what is happening in China is very important to me... Thank you Michael ..and may you continue your success ...
Chen Ying - 6/20/2008 4:14 AM
Hi, as a journalist interested in China's facts, I find this blog really useful. Go on, prof Pettis, I will read more and more. Gabriele Battaglia - Chen Ying http://www.chen-ying.net/blog/
Amb Dr Anton Smitsendonk - 6/11/2008 3:25 AM
Dear Prof Pettis. I have been following over a couple of months your work on internet. I have great respect for the probing way of your dealing with China's economy and capital markets. Even the sheer volume and frequency of your production is a cause for amazement to me. I am a longtime occasional observer of the Chinese capital markets, In the eighties' when I was Ambassador of the Netherlands in Chine I amused myself (and perhaps raised a few eyebros among ambassador colleagues by speaking in Beijing and Shanghai on the function and pre-conditions of any effective stock exchange. I did that on a long term interest (and short term experience in the Amsterdamsche Bank NV and the Amsterdam stock exchange) As you know Amsterdam had the first stock market in the world.
Recently I contributed an article to Jamestown Foundation China Brief on the structural peculiarities of the Chinese stock market (tradable vs non tradable etcetera) and the general typical Chinese experimental and groping ways of policy making.
The above is only to demonstrate that my respect for your work has some basis in reality I pass half of the year in Paris and half in Beijing in a pleasant "si-heyuanr" (as long as it can still withstand the Beijing ongoing destruction = 129 Di An Men Dong Dajie- ) In either city I would be very glad if you came over for a drink of dinner.
Kind regards
Anton Smitsendonk dutasia@gmail.com 4 rue de Villersexel, Paris 75007 129 Di an men dong dajie Beijing
tom - 5/30/2008 8:07 AM
Hullo one thing i'd be interested to know, in light of the general inflation debate, is how rigorously NDRC price caps on oil products are adhered to (Chinese diesel demand being the single biggest driver for international price growth, as far as we can tell). My chaps tell me PetroChina and Sinopec have toling deals in Shandong, which envisage buying product back from independent refiners at well over the regulated price level. Do they really then retail it below cost?
chegewara - 5/27/2008 4:28 PM
Michael, if you keep it going this way, your blog is bound to become one of the most read blogosphere sources on China. Really, a breeze of fresh air in otherwise quite dry environment!
Glenn - 5/26/2008 3:02 PM
Keep the information flowing. Thanks! I just returned from a family vacation to Beijing. Fascinating place and you are at Ground Zero, let us know what is happening.
Judy Yeo - 5/17/2008 5:28 AM
Hopped over on a link. Finally someone willing to even mention the NPL situation. The one -off solution would be a ruthless write-off of NPL and recapitalisation of the major banks whilst the times are still relatively good. How much dust that will throw up is anyone's guess but who has the guts to really carry out this plan? The other problem is how to ensure the moral hazard side of this does not fudge i.e. that blind lending practices don't work. Please do correct any erroneous statements on my part and expound on the situation.
Gaurav Bansal - 5/16/2008 10:47 AM
Hello Michael, This is Gaurav Bansal. I was a student at SIPA. I am now with the State Dept and based in Mumbai working as an Economic Officer. I just heard about your blog in a local paper.
Malcolm Riddell - 5/15/2008 11:05 AM
Hi Michael, Just found your blog. Terrific! I'll give you an email next time I get to Beijing. Look forward to seeing again. All the best, Malcolm
Philip Freely - 5/14/2008 10:29 AM
Great Blog.
If interest rates are circa 7% (is that the case?) and inflation is 9% is it any surprise that there is over heating in certain areas. ? It would seem like a no brainer to borrow and invest in any physical asset. (hence i presume commodity boom)
Surely the authorities need to raise interst rates to 11-12%
But if interest rates were to go to 11-12% how painful do you feel this would be?
kind rgds
Recent Guestbook Entries
Michael
I have enjoyed reading your insights about the ...
Flora Sapio
Just included your blog in the list of law-rela...
Michael Pettis is a professor at Peking University's Guanghua School of Management, where he specializes in Chinese financial markets. He has also taught, from 2002 to 2004, at Tsinghua University’s School of Economics and Management and, from 1992 to 2001, at Columbia University’s Graduate School of Business. He is a member of the board of directors of ABC-CA Fund Management Co., a Sino-French joint venture based in Shanghai.
Pettis has worked on Wall Street in trading, capital markets, and corporate finance since 1987, when he joined the Sovereign Debt trading team at Manufacturers Hanover (now JP Morgan). Most recently, from 1996 to 2001, Pettis worked at Bear Stearns, where he was Managing Director-Principal heading the Latin American Capital Markets and the Liability Management groups. He has also worked as a partner in a merchant banking boutique that specialized in securitizing Latin American assets and at Credit Suisse First Boston, where he headed the emerging markets trading team. Besides trading and capital markets, Pettis has been involved in sovereign advisory work, including for the Mexican government on the privatization of its banking system, the Republic of Macedonia on the restructuring of its international bank debt, and the South Korean Ministry of Finance on the restructuring of the country’s commercial bank debt.
Pettis is a member of the Institute of Latin American Studies Advisory Board at Columbia University as well as the Dean’s Advisory Board at the School of Public and International Affairs. He is the author of several books, including The Volatility Machine: Emerging Economies and the Threat of Financial Collapse (Oxford University Press, 2001). He received an MBA in Finance in 1984 and an MIA in Development Economics in 1981, both from Columbia University.